First hand playing 25-50 seat 3 raises to 125. Good time for him to steal bc the bb hasn't sat down yet so his 50 is dead. We r in seat 4 with JQ and re-raise to 425. Everyone folds. Table leader!
Button raises to 150 and its on us with 6Th in the bb. For 100 more we see the flop heads up AJ4. 2 diamonds and a heart. Pot is 325 and we bet 175 hoping the ace didn't hit him and we can scare him out. He looks like he's going to fold and then calls. Turn comes Ah giving us a flush draw. We continue the semi bluff with 300 and he calls. River comes Ks. We could launch 700 in as a bluff but it's too early to commit that much to a bluff and unless he's been calling w two diamonds he will likely continue to call. We check. He checks. He shows K9d. So he was playing 2 diamonds but he likely would have called anyway as one was the K, which he hit on the river. He takes it down.
Everyone folds to us in seat 5 and we raise to 150 with KhQd. Seat 7 and bb call and flop comes 347 - all hearts. We do have the K! Bb checks. We bet 300 - seat 7 folds and the bb calls. River comes 6c and bb bets 800 representing a 5 in his hand for a straight. Do we bet 800 to win 2000 if a heart comes on the river (assuming he doesn't have the Ah)? We go into the tank. Will we get more from him if a heart rivers? Not unless he has a mid or bigger heart. So we are hoping he has a big heart but not the Ah and that a heart rivers. We fold.
Button raises to 125 and Sb re-raises to 450. We are in the bb with TT. We don't want to see a flop. We re-raise to 1450. Button folds his steal and Sb goes into the tank. And then folds. Good result. We picked up 575.
Seat 6 raises to 125 and we call from seat 8 with 44. Bb calls and the three of us see a 6Jk flop. They check. We check and watch the turn for a 4. Nope. An 8. They check again. Maybe they have nothing? We bet 200 and the bb folds but seat 6 calls. River comes 3. That shouldn't change anyone's hand. He checks. We check as he likely won't call unless he has us beat and he is unlikely to fold now if he didn't on the turn. The river didn't change our hands. He shows AQ and we take it down with our little pair.
Sb raises to 150 and we call from bb with A4s to see 3JA flop (one spade). He bets 250 and we call. Our A is probably not good but let's see if he bets the turn. Turn comes 8s. Now we have a flush draw. He bets 650 and we call. He probably has an ace so we really need a spade. River comes 8c. He checks. Maybe he doesn't have an ace? Do we have him beat? Our hand is suddenly good. Aces and eights with a jack kicker. We lose to a flopped set (unlikely) an 8 (unlikely) or an AK or AQ or AJ (possible?). That said he's not calling our bet without an ace, which would tie or beat us. We check and he shows QQ. Our baby ace takes it down.
At this point I stopped taking notes for a while. The table was moving fast and I wanted to get a better feel for the players. We rejoin a couple hours later.
We have pillaged for a while and build our stack to about 27000 - table leader. We are playing 200-400.
Seat 4 raises to 950 and we call from seat 6 with JQc. Seat 8 calls and the flop comes 37J with 2 diamonds. Seat 4 bets 800 and we make it 1600. They both call. Turn comes 2c. Total rag. Seat 4 checks. We want to chase out the guy with 2 diamonds. There's about 8500 in the pot and we bet 6000. That should do it. Seat 8 calls and seat 4 folds (if seat 4 had 2 diamonds that would have merited a call because of the money already in from us and seat 8, but seat 8 shouldn't have 3 diamonds). River comes 3d. Hmmm. We have hacks and 3s with a Q kicker. We are afraid of 2 diamonds (should not be the case), a 3 (hard to see him having a 3 and calling this whole way unless he flopped 2 pair), a big pocket pair (aces kings or queens) , which wouldn't make sense because he should have been betting them, or a big jack. A jack with an ace or king that would beat us. His play has us a little confused. We check and he bets 8000. We go into the tank and fold. That will be the big question mark of the day.
We grind back up to about 25000 in chips and are in seat 4 and raise to 1100 with JJ. Seat 6 (same guy from the hand above) calls as does the bb. Flop comes 39J with 2 spades and a club. Giddey up. We continuation bet 1900 and seat 6 calls. Turn comes 4c. Total rag. We have the nuts right now but there are 2 flush draws and a straight draw on the board. We bet 5500 into the 7500 pot and he calls. River comes Tc. Hmmm. Strange card. It does hit the flush draw, but only if he's playing 2 clubs and called the flop and then hit runner runner clubs to make the flush. Highly unlikely. It also hits the straight draw, but in a very weird way. The 9j flop promotes an 8T or TQ to stay with an open ended straight draw, but not a 78, 8Q or QK looking for a Golub shot T for the straight. So straight is even more unlikely than flush. Except the QK. He could have been calling with QK believing I had a jack and he had 6 outs in queens and kings and four more in tens. Even that puts him at about 38% after the flop. The pot has about 18500 in it and we bet 6000. He pushes all in. We have about 10000 more in chips. Based on the above analysis we call and he shows QKc and knocks us out.
Wow. So the pre flop call makes perfect sense. The post flop call (particularly with someone behind him) is questionable but he did have 10 good cards he was fishing for. The call on the river made sense because suddenly he had a flush draw too, increasing his fishing targets to 18 cards (although 2 of these would have given us a full house or quads). At that point there were 42 unknown cards, 16 off which were winners for him, about 38%. With the pot odds his play made great sense. Also, if he hit a ten he would have the nuts and acting after me have a shot at my remaining chips. He hit the straight and the flush!
Oiy - more tomorrow.
All the best,
Somewhat distressed donkey
Sent from my iPhone
No comments:
Post a Comment