So we start the round with 43,500 in chips playing 200 400 with 50 antes. That means there's 1050 in the pot before cards are dealt, so stealing the blinds is at a premium. This also puts pressure on players to build their stacks because soon the cost to play a hand will grow so large that small stacks have only one choice, fold or push all in. To add to the elements, there's a huge personal cost to playing Day 2 for a lot of players, including me. Those players will be more likely to push all in to either get knocked out and not have to come back or to double up and come back strong. My 43,500 chip stack is certainly above average, which is probably around 39,000, but it's not enough to feel excited coming back to Vegas in 3 days.
Side note - unlike prior years, there are only 3 Day 1s this year, so instead of playing Day 2 in four days (after the second, third, and fourth Day 1), people playing Day 1 today play Day 2 in 3 days, on Tuesday.
After folding for 20 minutes, S3 raises to 1000 and everyone folds to us in the BB. We have AK and consider raising, but he will likely pay us off if we hit, so we call. Flop comes 57J. We check and he checks. Either he's slow playing or has something like AQ - let's hope for that. Turn comes 2 and we bet 1000. He flat calls. That's a good sign. River comes 6 and we bet 2000. Again he flat calls. We show AK and he mucks. Nice pick up of about 5000!
S4 raises to 1100 and we call from S6 with 89c. S7 calls and S8, who is very aggressive, raises to 3200. S4 folds and we call because if we hit, we should get paid by S8. S7 calls and the flop comes 884. Wow! We check, S7 checks, and S8 bets 5200. We call and S7 folds. Turn comes 3. We check and he pushes all in. We call and he says good call and turns over AQ. River Q is no help to him; he's out.
Seat 4 raises to 1050, S7 calls and we call from S8 with AK. Flop comes A2Q and we wind up all in with S4. At this point I can't recall the exact play as it's been a while, but I remember he had AQ, which is terrible for us. We turn a J and river a T to make a straight and bad beat him for the pot. He's out.
Not long after someone new comes to the table to replace someone I busted. Everyone folds to me and we raise to 1600 in the SB with KTc. He re-raises to 3600 and we call. Flop comes 6TQ. We check and he bets 4800. We call and turn comes K giving us 2 pair. We check and he checks. River comes 7. We bet 7500. He only has about 11000, so he pushes all in. We call and he shows AA. Our 2 pair takes it down, and we send another person home.
We've knocked out several people this round, but they all had relatively small stacks. Still, this is amazing luck.
Seat 6 raises to 1200 and we're in the BB with 25h. Not a great hand, but for 800, we'll see the flop. Flop comes A36 with 1 heart and 2 clubs. We check and he bets 2200. He has about 50,000 in chips, but a call here still doesn't make sense. Even if I hit a 4 to make a straight, I won't make the 20,000 that is required for taking the 2200 risk. Still, we're on a heater and we call. Turn comes 3c. What a scare card. There are now 2 3s and 3 clubs on the board. We bet 4400 and he folds. Giddey-up!
Seat 6 raises to 800 and we call from the BB with TJ. Flop comes 39J and we bet 1600. He folds.
The guy to my right got a one round penalty for failing to bet when he had the nuts. He didn't realize he had it; this is the consequence of poker exhaustion. Anyway, his BB was dead in the pot and we're on our heater so we raise to 1050 with J4. Yep, true story. Wild attempt to steal the blinds. However, S7 and S8 call. Flop comes AA2. Very scary flop for them. I check and they check. Turn comes 5. We bet 1800 and S7 calls. S8 folds. River comes 7 and we bet 3600. He folds. This game is too easy when everyone's afraid of you and you can spare chips to throw at people.
We did, of course, hit a rough stretch to end the heater, but we took our lumps for about 10,000 in losses and finished Round 5 with 136,900 in chips.
Cards fly again Tuesday at noon. Thanks for joining the Herd.
Your Donkey
All the best,
Eric Kurtzman
Kurtzman Carson Consultants
2335 Alaska Ave
El Segundo, CA 90245
voice (310) 751-1500
fax (310) 751-1550
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