We're playing 1000 2000 with 300 antes. The disproportionate antes make stealing huge, but we no longer have a stealing stack, so we'll be very cautious on that front. There are 1455 players left with an average stack of 136,041. We have 138,200 chips. So we're still above average!!!
S8 raises to 4500 and the Button calls. We call for 2500 more from the BB with 56. Flop comes TJK and we fold as soon as possible.
S5 raises to 4500 and S7 calls. We call from S8 with A5c and the blinds both call. Flop comes T55. Giddey-up. Everyone checks to us and we bet 7500. Only S5 calls. Turn comes 7. He checks and we bet 18,000. He calls and River comes 5. Not only do we have quads, but this hides our 5 a little. We push all in and he goes into the tank for a few minutes and folds. Still, nice pot.
From S4 we raise to 4500 with 33 and a small stack pushes all in for 20,000. The pot is basically 15000 so we have to put 15000 more in to win 30000. This is a great be unless he has a bigger pair. We call and he shows TK. Unfortunately, this time he makes quads, flopping 2 tens and turning a third. Oh well, you win and lose races.
From S6 we raise to 4500 with QKc and S7 calls us. Flop comes 49T with 2 spades. We check and he bets 6000. We call, looking for any paint card. Turn comes 2c. We check and he checks. River comes Ks. We bet 12500 and he calls. He has JQ and made a straight. He literally had 7 outs. A K or an 8. Any other card we win. Ouch. Our stack just took two bad hits. We're down to about 118,000.
S5 raises to 4500 and we call from the button with A8h. Flop comes 289 with one heart. He bets 7500. That feels wrong. What was he betting on from an early seat that has any of that? Unless he has a big pocket pair, we should be in the lead, but the turn could be a big bad card. We raise to 15000 and he folds.
S7 raises to 4400 and we raise to 12500 from the Button with AK. He re-raises to 25000 representing a big hand. He should have JJ or better, or AK or AQs. Most of these hands represent a race. The most likely hands (as I have one of each of the As and Ks) are JJ and QQ. The pot, if we call, will be 56,000. If the flop is low cards and he bets, we will have to fold. If we do hit the A or K and bet, he will only call if he has a set of As or Ks or an AQ (the only good spot for us). If he has JJ or QQ, he'll fold. Any chips we hope to win have to go in now. We consider the all in push, which would be a roughly 90,000 chip raise and gives us some fold equity. That's what we're "supposed to do" here with a premium hand (AK, AA, KK, or QQ).
We gather our courage and push all in and he goes into the tank and calls with JJ. It's a race. Flop comes 7TQ. We need a JK or A now. We've fallen from about 47% to about 37%. Unfortunately the turn and river do no help for our position and we're on our way out.
Okay, so you win and lose races, but that was a big one to lose. Have to admit, that was frustrating. It was pretty much straight down from our top spot where we stood for a moment tied in second place, only to ultimately get knocked out with 1,000 players left in.
There was some bad play in Day 2, but mostly I'll remember about 4 rounds of bad cards and 3 people hitting straights against me on the river. I will, of course, forget the great cards and luck I had on Day 1. That's just the way it goes.
The Donkey will rise again! But not for a year. Thanks for joining the herd for another tour of destruction!
All the best,
Your Donkey
All the best,
Eric Kurtzman
Kurtzman Carson Consultants
2335 Alaska Ave
El Segundo, CA 90245
voice (310) 751-1500
fax (310) 751-1550
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